The Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan American think tank (referring to itself as a "fact tank") based in Washington, D.C. It provides information on social issues, public opinion, and demographic trends shaping the United States and the world. It also conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis, and other empirical social science research. The Pew Research Center does not take policy positions, and is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts.
This page provides an overview of PredictIt markets relating to the 2020 presidential election. Charts show the current state of each market with data updated every 60 seconds. The following charts are available on this page and https://www.predictit.org/markets/1/US-Elections
Here are the dates for this year’s presidential primaries and caucuses
Jan. 14 Iowa Democratic debate
Feb. 3 Iowa caucuses
Feb. 7 New Hampshire Democratic debate
Feb. 11 New Hampshire primaries
Feb. 19 Nevada Democratic debate
Feb. 22 Nevada Democratic caucuses
Feb. 25 South Carolina Democratic debate
Feb. 29 South Carolina Democratic primary
March 3 Alabama primaries; American Samoa Democratic caucus; Arkansas primaries; California primaries; Colorado primaries; Maine primaries; Massachusetts primaries; Minnesota primaries; North Carolina primaries; Oklahoma primaries; Tennessee primaries; Texas primaries; Utah primaries; Vermont primaries; Virginia Democratic primary
March 10 Idaho primaries; Michigan primaries; Mississippi primaries; Missouri primaries; North Dakota Democratic caucuses; Washington primaries
March 12 Virgin Islands Republican caucuses
March 14 Guam Republican caucuses; Northern Marianas Democratic convention; Wyoming Republican convention
March 17 Arizona Democratic primary; Florida primaries; Illinois primaries; Northern Marianas Republican convention; Ohio primaries
March 21 Kentucky Republican caucuses
March 24 Georgia primaries; American Samoa Republican caucuses
March 29 Puerto Rico Democratic primary
April 4 Alaska Democratic primary; Hawaii Democratic primary; Louisiana primaries; Wyoming Democratic caucuses
April 7 Wisconsin primaries
April 28 Connecticut primaries; Delaware primaries; Maryland primaries; New York primaries; Pennsylvania primaries; Rhode Island primaries
May 2 Guam Democratic caucuses; Kansas Democratic primary
May 5 Indiana primaries
May 12 Nebraska primaries; West Virginia primaries
May 19 Kentucky Democratic primary; Oregon primaries
June 2 District of Columbia primaries; Montana primaries; New Jersey primaries; New Mexico primaries; South Dakota primaries
June 6 Virgin Islands Democratic caucuses
June 7 Puerto Rico Republican primary
July 13-16 Democratic convention, Milwaukee, Wis.
Aug. 24-27 Republican convention, Charlotte, N.C.
Sept. 29 First presidential debate, Notre Dame, Ind.
Oct. 7 Vice presidential debate, Salt Lake City, Utah
Oct. 15 Second presidential debate, Ann Arbor, Mich.
Oct. 22 Third presidential debate, Nashville, Tenn.
For more than 40 years, Iowa has held the first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses. A vibrant political culture has emerged as a result of this role, and Iowa voters have a unique opportunity to get to know the nation's presidential candidates as they travel the state, attend small-group meetings, and hone their messages. Candidates come to Iowa--where "retail politics" is the name of the game--early and often. But the campaign trail in Iowa isn't just about candidates. It's about average Americans in small-town diners, church basements, and high school gyms. In an age of public cynicism about politics, the Iowa caucuses continue to demonstrate the importance of real people talking about issues with would-be presidents.
The Iowa caucuses are noteworthy as the first major contest of the United States presidential primary season.Though the demographics of Iowa are not representative of the rest of the country, the caucuses are still seen as a strong indicator by some of how a presidential candidate will do in later contests. It could be seen as a circular argument however, as the Iowa caucus, being the first, likely strongly influences later races and they can provide candidates with momentum going into the following contests. Further, candidates who do poorly in their caucus are likely to drop out in the following days.The 2020 presidential caucuses are tentatively scheduled for February 3, 2020. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_caucuses
Kobe was a legend on the court and just getting started in what would have been just as meaningful a second act. To lose Gianna is even more heartbreaking to us as parents. Michelle and I send love and prayers to Vanessa and the entire Bryant family on an unthinkable day.
The unexpected joy at a Trump rally in Iowa
On the cusp of beating two articles of impeachment, the president’s fans were in a celebratory mood. Meanwhile, somewhere there was a Democratic race taking place.
Congratulations, America—it’s election season again! Try to enjoy it with this highly entertaining coloring and activity book featuring (almost!) all of the Democrats who decided to run for president in 2020.
What Is the 2020 Election About? We Gave 4,400 People a Blank Space to Tell Us
Since early 2017, Morning Consult has been asking thousands of Americans every day about which issues are driving their decisions at the ballot box. This time, we decided to let the American public speak for itself — and more often than not, people were talking about the economy.
New machine-learning technology from Morning Consult analyzed and visualized the “open-ended” responses, which varied from one word to one paragraph. The approach uses powerful natural language processing (NLP) models that, after being trained, “understand” the semantic and syntactic meaning of words,...
“When an economy is good, presidents tend to get re-elected,” said John Hudak, a senior fellow within the Brookings Insitution’s Governance Studies. “But the reality of the economy is that it is affecting people very differently.”...
The results of Iowa’s Democratic caucuses were delayed, in part because of a new, untested app used to report the numbers.
What was the name of the company that built the app?
Shadow Inc., a company founded by veterans of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign, built the app in less than two months to help report results in Iowa. But it wasn’t widely tested before Monday’s caucuses, and many users reported trouble downloading and using the app.
Technical glitches weren’t the only reasons behind the major delay from the state’s first-in-the-nation presidential contest. Here’s a look at what went wrong.
On Thursday, near-final results showed Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg in a dead heat for the lead.
A social media platform said it would remove misleading election-related content that can cause “serious risk of egregious harm,” the first time it had comprehensively laid out how it will handle viral falsehoods.
Which platform was it?
YouTube, the Google-owned video site, previously had several different policies that addressed false or misleading content, but it rolled out a full plan on Monday.
As part of the plan, YouTube said it would ban videos that gave users the wrong voting date or those that spread false information about participating in the census. It said it would also remove videos that spread lies about a political candidate’s citizenship status or eligibility for office.
A deeply divided Senate acquitted President Trump on charges that he abused his power and obstructed Congress.
Only one Republican senator voted to convict Mr. Trump. Who was it?
Mr. Romney, who on Wednesday judged Mr. Trump guilty of abuse of power, became the first senator in U.S. history to vote to remove the president of his own party.
“Attempting to corrupt an election to maintain power is about as egregious an assault on the Constitution as can be made,” Mr. Romney said before the vote.
The widely expected verdict in Mr. Trump’s impeachment trial ended five months of hearings, investigations and revelations about his dealings with Ukraine.
On Thursday, Mr. Trump and his Republican allies focused on exacting payback against his political opponents.
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